The Change Of Cashmere Market Is Reasonable.

Cashmere has been in the situation of snap buying since April, especially in Liaoning, Shaanxi and other cashmere listed areas. The purchase of cashmere is 3-4 times that of the past year, and the price is also high. When the western regions of Inner Mongolia and other areas are listed in large numbers, the price continues to rise, only a few days ago, a lot less than before.

As a whole, the price of cashmere purchase has exceeded 500 thousand / ton. At present, the price of cashmere can be deducted to 52-53 million tons.

In this wave of market, cashmere traders and farmers are better off. The purchase price of cashmere traders in the early stage starts at around 400 thousand, and they can earn about 20% in a month or so. Even if the prices they receive now fall a little, they will also earn money in the early days.

Farmers are also, the price of early cashmere acquisition rises rapidly, and when cashmere is listed in large quantities, the price has come up, and it can directly sell high prices.

The most difficult thing is cashmere processing enterprises. Now cashmere is rising fast, and it may fall too fast. If cashmere is bought and processed, the price may fall again.

Since April,

Market changes can be said to exceed everyone's expectations and are expected.

The expectation is that everyone thinks that the price of cashmere will go up. Unexpectedly, it did not expect to go up so fast and fast.

The development of cashmere market in the next few months is a matter of great concern to everyone. We have consulted many business owners and cashmere buying vendors on this issue. In general, we are still cautious.

The reasons are mainly as follows:

There are tens of thousands of domestic cashmere purchasers and cashmere dealers, and less than twenty thousand tons of raw wool will be available in China. If all of them are collected, it will not be enough.

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There will be more people to get up and grab, and the cashmere industry will be like this. If you don't buy it naturally, someone will buy it. If you don't buy it now, you will get a high price later.

This is a bit like buying a house, the sooner you buy, the more you earn.

China's cashmere is mainly exported, with a total export volume exceeding 70%.

Good or bad is an important factor affecting the cashmere price trend. The export data of cashmere and its products in the past three months (the export figures for April will not come out until next week) will be reduced to no plush, 1750 tons in 2016, 1-3 tons in 2015, and 1430 tons in 1-3 months in 2014, and 22% and 20% in 2015 compared with 2014 in 2014.

This growth rate is still relatively large, which is also an important reason for the rising price of cashmere purchase this year.

But the export growth in the first quarter is only expected improvement, not the growth of real demand. It is too early to predict the improvement of exports as a whole according to the export data of the previous months.

Although the price of cashmere raw materials has risen by more than 20%, the cashmere products have not really increased. This shows that the cashmere market is still in recession.

Judging from the current economic situation at home and abroad, it is still not optimistic.

Especially the domestic economic situation, I think you can feel that other industries can not do well except the real estate industry. Excessive digestion and overcapacity will bring a large number of workers to lay off. This is bad news for cashmere products belonging to high-end consumer goods.

Now there is a certain risk in the market. This is also a common view. The takeover business is also cautious. Many people are watching.

Throughout the decades of cashmere price changes, the current price of cashmere purchase is not high, but the growth rate is relatively large. If we can stabilize the present price to the herdsmen and the whole cashmere industry, the price is too low, too high, and the fluctuation is too great for the healthy development of the industry. We also hope to stabilize the current price. We hope that the promotion of raw material prices will eventually lead to the increase of finished products and export prices, so that farmers, cashmere purchasers and processing enterprises are all able to make money. This requires us to combine the whole cashmere industry and work together.